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NEWPORT BEACH, California—The House race in California’s 48^th Congressional District was supposed to be like so many others this year: An upscale, suburban, traditionally Republican suburb that had voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, where Democrats would target a longtime and suddenly vulnerable incumbent. After 30 years in the House, Rep. Dana Rohrabacher saw his coastal Orange County district begin to shift left, and his personal eccentricities—including an abiding sympathy for Russia—hadn’t helped his standing.

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